Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 3.246140 3.802037 4.394575 5.070076 5.815696 6.610546 7.518867
2024-10-06 2.609373 3.405324 4.315437 5.419604 6.709423 8.155430 9.885761
2024-10-13 2.114899 3.055374 4.201772 5.669577 7.466370 9.562911 12.161797
2024-10-20 1.695730 2.707420 4.018266 5.781013 8.029133 10.742564 14.205206
2024-10-27 1.316413 2.333011 3.734207 5.710084 8.328267 11.586694 15.852847
2024-11-03 1.094970 2.132643 3.642636 5.858809 8.888396 12.751740 17.911859
2024-11-10 0.905854 1.941120 3.530177 5.952409 9.360082 13.801863 19.840303
2024-11-17 0.706693 1.690305 3.292694 5.836600 9.524240 14.439792 21.241998
2024-11-24 0.542752 1.461527 3.054024 5.687122 9.616719 14.967545 22.496152
2024-12-01 0.431074 1.302366 2.902884 5.647952 9.850492 15.678750 23.995429
2024-12-08 0.336072 1.150823 2.741522 5.572544 10.016910 16.290710 25.364380
2024-12-15 0.297494 1.114150 2.777203 5.811228 10.653378 17.567418 27.653447
2024-12-22 0.242406 1.024819 2.708601 5.878743 11.043187 18.522195 29.547573
2024-12-29 0.219283 1.011786 2.784353 6.193817 11.824829 20.055720 32.273133
2025-01-05 0.191928 0.978763 2.815732 6.432023 12.492830 21.439639 34.815981
2025-01-12 0.158187 0.914432 2.773927 6.535902 12.948765 22.522636 36.954490
2025-01-19 0.118361 0.811366 2.633975 6.449894 13.091932 23.144726 38.449068
2025-01-26 0.099166 0.771964 2.628251 6.607616 13.632716 24.363167 40.806701
2025-02-02 0.080368 0.723713 2.594487 6.707364 14.076808 25.441137 42.974613
2025-02-09 0.056529 0.635185 2.449520 6.580326 14.133024 25.930395 44.297611
2025-02-16 0.037504 0.549377 2.294089 6.417110 14.115888 26.301012 45.447653
2025-02-23 0.026107 0.492477 2.202944 6.374215 14.299847 26.979825 47.053436
2025-03-02 0.016956 0.434931 2.097809 6.291962 14.408061 27.538713 48.486393